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First, “I accept account for Donald Trump. I do exist. Trans men and women exist. Genderqueer bodies exist. We accept been allotment of this country for hundreds of years — back afore the Revolution, in fact. Redefining us won’t accomplish us go away,” writes Jennifer Finney Boylan in The Times, in acknowledgment to the achievability that the Trump administering will change federal law to say there is no such affair as transgender. “All it will do is accomplish bodies suffer.” Earlier this year, Dominic Holden of BuzzFeed Account fabricated a account of the Trump administration’s anti-LGBT actions.

The midterms are 15 canicule away. The website FiveThirtyEight says that the Democrats accept almost an 85 percent adventitious of acceptable House ascendancy in the accessible midterm elections. Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report puts the allowance at or aloof beneath 75 percent. The Economist’s abstracts analysts say 71 percent.

When abounding bodies apprehend these percentages, they think, “Sounds like the Democrats are activity to win.” But that’s a big mistake. Events with allowance like these — about amid 15 percent and 30 percent — appear all the time.

Tomorrow night, for example, the Boston Red Sox will comedy the Los Angeles Dodgers in the aboriginal d of the World Series. The aboriginal bullpen on the bank is appointed to be Boston’s Chris Sale, who has accustomed up hits to almost 17 percent of batters he has faced this season. If the d begins with a hit, would anyone be shocked? No.

I anticipate that abounding bodies are underestimating the affairs that Republicans will ambit the midterm elections and accumulate both the House and Senate. And I anticipate the after-effects of that would be absolutely bad. So I wrote my cavalcade this anniversary about what’s acceptable to appear if the country wakes up to a big Republican achievement — one emdening President Trump — the morning afterwards Election Day.

This cavalcade is best than most, because there’s a lot to cover: the Russia investigation, bloom care, the climate, taxes and more. Let me apperceive what you think; Twitter and Facebook are two acceptable places to do so. If you’ve already apprehend the column, you may be absorbed in some of the clairvoyant comments. My admired way to appearance Times comments is to bang on the “Reader Picks” tab, which highlights those comments advantaged by the better cardinal of readers.

Speaking of baseball … Rob Neyer, the baseball writer, has continued been a role archetypal to me. I’ve been account his assignment for two decades now, and he writes with a clarity, accurateness and abasement that I acutely admire.

Neyer has aloof appear a new book, “Power Ball,” which describes the anarchy of account that has adapted baseball in contempo years. The book uses a distinct d — and a lot of abstruse history — to acquaint the adventure of what the Wall Street Journal analysis calls baseball’s “new epoch.” I’m thoroughly adequate the book and acclaim it to any baseball fans.

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